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posts published in January 2007

Mass predictions

by rz

An interesting article on obtaining a pool of 'experts' making predictions for you. See related post here. It seems that ProbabilityFootball has successfully done what I was talking about in that old post. The most remarkable thing:

Even when we average together the very worst participants -- those participants who actually scored below zero in the contest -- the resulting predictions are amazingly good.

It seems that it would be worthwhile to try something like this on the stock market. However, it would probably be a lot harder to get people making predictions about the stock market since not so many would ...

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Theoretical Physics in the Third World

by rz

After reading Smolin's book I became a interested in the Perimeter Institute. PI seems to be like one heck of a place to be at! That's not what spiked my interest, though, but rather how it was formed. In a nutshell, a rich startup CEO decided that he would like to contribute to science by starting an institute for theoretical physics, so he donated the cash and hired an executive director. Five years later we have PI.

To do experimental physics one needs a lot of things. Particularly, one needs large sums of money to buy and develop ...

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